STOCKPRIMARY PRODUCTION OF ALUMINUMUpdated 2026-08-16
Here’s whether Alcoa Corporation (AA) is worth buying in 2026 —
based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs.
the S&P 500. Our current read: Bearish.
🔴
Bearish
Positives: strong 1-year return of +59.5%. Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); below the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum negative); 50-day MA is falling (-8.70% over 10 days); 3-month momentum negative (-20.1%). Currently 40.8% off its 52-week high. Score: -4/7.
AA is trading below its 200-day MA ($56.68) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. An RSI of 65.5 sits in the neutral zone — momentum is neither stretched nor exhausted. The 1-year return of +59.5% compares to +20.4% for SPY (beat the market by 39.2%). The current 40.8% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.
$10,000 invested 1 year ago→ $15,953 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period beat market by 39.2%
1-Year Price Chart
Daily candles
MA-50MA-200UpDown
Signal Check
✗Above 200-day MA ($56.68)
✗Above 50-day MA ($52.85)
✓RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 65.5
✓Positive return (+59.5%)
!Within 10% of period high (−40.8%)
Period Range $49.98
$28.92$84.38
RSI (14) 65.5
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100
Key Metrics
Price$49.98
Period Return+59.5%
Period High$84.38
Period Low$28.92
Drawdown−40.8%
MA-50$52.85
MA-200$56.68
RSI (14)65.5
Avg Volume (30d)5.6M
vs. SPYbeat by 39.2%
Return Rank#251 of 1252
Trend Signals
Price is below the 200-day moving average ($56.68)