Here’s whether Carvana Co. (CVNA) is worth buying in 2026 —
based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs.
the S&P 500. Our current read: Bearish.
🔴
Bearish
Positives: RSI 42 — healthy momentum range. Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); below the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum negative); 50-day MA is falling (-19.14% over 10 days); weak 1-year return of -79.9%; 3-month momentum negative (-79.0%). Currently 86.8% off its 52-week high. Score: -5/7.
CVNA is trading below its 200-day MA ($327.69) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. An RSI of 42.4 sits in the neutral zone — momentum is neither stretched nor exhausted. The 1-year return of -79.9% compares to +22.9% for SPY (trailed the market by 102.8%). The current 86.8% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.
$10,000 invested 1 year ago→ $2,010 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period trailed market by 102.8%
1-Year Price Chart
Daily candles
MA-50MA-200UpDown
Signal Check
✗Above 200-day MA ($327.69)
✗Above 50-day MA ($197.17)
✓RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 42.4
✗Positive return (-79.9%)
!Within 10% of period high (−86.8%)
Period Range $64.10
$61.03$486.89
RSI (14) 42.4
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100
Key Metrics
Price$64.10
Period Return-79.9%
Period High$486.89
Period Low$61.03
Drawdown−86.8%
MA-50$197.17
MA-200$327.69
RSI (14)42.4
Avg Volume (30d)9.9M
vs. SPYtrailed by 102.8%
Return Rank#1172 of 1246
Trend Signals
Price is below the 200-day moving average ($327.69)
Price is below the 50-day moving average ($197.17)