Here’s whether Mattel, Inc. (MAT) is worth buying in 2026 —
based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs.
the S&P 500. Our current read: Bearish.
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Bearish
Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); below the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum negative); 50-day MA is falling (-7.10% over 10 days); RSI 73 — overbought, elevated pullback risk; 3-month momentum negative (-27.8%). Currently 32.4% off its 52-week high. Score: -6/7.
MAT is trading below its 200-day MA ($18.35) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. With an RSI of 72.6, momentum has stretched into overbought territory — short-term pullbacks are common from these levels. The 1-year return of +3.8% compares to +35.1% for SPY (trailed the market by 31.3%). The current 32.4% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.
$10,000 invested 1 year ago→ $10,376 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period trailed market by 31.3%
1-Year Price Chart
Daily candles
MA-50MA-200UpDown
Signal Check
✗Above 200-day MA ($18.35)
✗Above 50-day MA ($16.06)
!RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 72.6
✓Positive return (+3.8%)
!Within 10% of period high (−32.4%)
Period Range $15.19
$14.10$22.48
RSI (14) 72.6
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100
Key Metrics
Price$15.19
Period Return+3.8%
Period High$22.48
Period Low$14.10
Drawdown−32.4%
MA-50$16.06
MA-200$18.35
RSI (14)72.6
Avg Volume (30d)4.2M
vs. SPYtrailed by 31.3%
Return Rank#668 of 996
Trend Signals
Price is below the 200-day moving average ($18.35)