Here’s whether Microsoft Corp (MSFT) is worth buying in 2026 —
based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs.
the S&P 500. Our current read: Caution.
🟡
Caution
Positives: 50-day MA is rising (+2.23% over 10 days); RSI 39 — healthy momentum range. Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); below the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum negative); weak 1-year return of -18.4%. Currently 29.6% off its 52-week high. Score: -2/7.
MSFT is trading below its 200-day MA ($453.73) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. An RSI of 38.9 sits in the neutral zone — momentum is neither stretched nor exhausted. The 1-year return of -18.4% compares to +22.9% for SPY (trailed the market by 41.3%). The current 29.6% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.
$10,000 invested 1 year ago→ $8,160 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period trailed market by 41.3%
1-Year Price Chart
Daily candles
MA-50MA-200UpDown
Signal Check
✗Above 200-day MA ($453.73)
✗Above 50-day MA ($411.80)
✓RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 38.9
✗Positive return (-18.4%)
!Within 10% of period high (−29.6%)
Period Range $390.74
$356.28$555.45
RSI (14) 38.9
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100
Key Metrics
Price$390.74
Period Return-18.4%
Period High$555.45
Period Low$356.28
Drawdown−29.6%
MA-50$411.80
MA-200$453.73
RSI (14)38.9
Avg Volume (30d)35.8M
vs. SPYtrailed by 41.3%
Return Rank#861 of 1246
Trend Signals
Price is below the 200-day moving average ($453.73)
Price is below the 50-day moving average ($411.80)