Here’s whether Progressive Corporation (PGR) is worth buying in 2026 —
based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs.
the S&P 500. Our current read: Bearish.
🔴
Bearish
Positives: RSI 55 — healthy momentum range. Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); below the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum negative); 50-day MA is falling (-0.77% over 10 days); weak 1-year return of -26.4%. Currently 30.1% off its 52-week high. Score: -4/7.
PGR is trading below its 200-day MA ($224.67) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. An RSI of 54.8 sits in the neutral zone — momentum is neither stretched nor exhausted. The 1-year return of -26.4% compares to +35.1% for SPY (trailed the market by 61.5%). The current 30.1% drawdown from the 52-week high reflects elevated risk for momentum-based strategies.
$10,000 invested 1 year ago→ $7,363 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period trailed market by 61.5%
1-Year Price Chart
Daily candles
MA-50MA-200UpDown
Signal Check
✗Above 200-day MA ($224.67)
✗Above 50-day MA ($203.70)
✓RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 54.8
✗Positive return (-26.4%)
!Within 10% of period high (−30.1%)
Period Range $202.58
$192.02$289.96
RSI (14) 54.8
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100
Key Metrics
Price$202.58
Period Return-26.4%
Period High$289.96
Period Low$192.02
Drawdown−30.1%
MA-50$203.70
MA-200$224.67
RSI (14)54.8
Avg Volume (30d)3.1M
vs. SPYtrailed by 61.5%
Return Rank#848 of 996
Trend Signals
Price is below the 200-day moving average ($224.67)
Price is below the 50-day moving average ($203.70)