Here’s whether Progressive Corporation (PGR) is worth buying in 2026 —
based on weekly-updated price trend, RSI momentum, and return vs.
the S&P 500. Our current read: Caution.
🟡
Caution
Positives: 50-day MA is rising (+1.44% over 10 days); RSI 39 — healthy momentum range. Concerns: trading below the 200-day MA (long-term downtrend); below the 50-day MA (medium-term momentum negative); weak 1-year return of -16.5%. Currently 17.8% off its 52-week high. Score: -2/7.
PGR is trading below its 200-day MA ($210.30) — a key warning sign the longer-term trend is under pressure. An RSI of 39.3 sits in the neutral zone — momentum is neither stretched nor exhausted. The 1-year return of -16.5% compares to +20.4% for SPY (trailed the market by 36.9%).
$10,000 invested 1 year ago→ $8,352 today
vs. S&P 500 (SPY) — same period trailed market by 36.9%
1-Year Price Chart
Daily candles
MA-50MA-200UpDown
Signal Check
✗Above 200-day MA ($210.30)
✗Above 50-day MA ($213.71)
✓RSI(14) neutral zone (30–70) — currently 39.3
✗Positive return (-16.5%)
!Within 10% of period high (−17.8%)
Period Range $209.60
$189.20$254.93
RSI (14) 39.3
0 · OversoldOverbought · 100
Key Metrics
Price$209.60
Period Return-16.5%
Period High$254.93
Period Low$189.20
Drawdown−17.8%
MA-50$213.71
MA-200$210.30
RSI (14)39.3
Avg Volume (30d)2.7M
vs. SPYtrailed by 36.9%
Return Rank#852 of 1252
Trend Signals
Price is below the 200-day moving average ($210.30)
Price is below the 50-day moving average ($213.71)